The EBITDA Trap That Almost Cost a Restaurant Chain
They had eight locations doing well on paper. Strong EBITDA, growing revenue, happy investors. But their debt service coverage ratio was declining every quarter.
The issue? Aggressive expansion meant lease obligations that didn't show up in traditional metrics. By the time we got involved, they were three months from missing a payment despite looking profitable.
We restructured the analysis to include all fixed obligations—not just interest. Turned out they needed to pause expansion for six months and focus on existing location cash flow. Not the answer they wanted, but it kept them operational.